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Monday, July 9, 2018

Valuations are still a negative headwind for the US stock market as we are now the most overpriced we have ever been. We are also concerned about Fed policy because the flattening yield curve and money supply trends suggests that we...

 

Thursday, June 7, 2018

June 2018 Trend Report

 

Monday, May 7, 2018

Business Cycle• ISM PMI: Growing• ECRI Leading Economic Indicators: Growing• US Dollar: Positive trend (deflation)• Interest Rates: Positive Trend• Credit Spreads: Tightening• Treasury Curve: Flattening...

 

Friday, April 6, 2018

Business Cycle•ISM PMI: Growing•ECRI Leading Economic Indicators: Growing•US Dollar: Negative Trend (inflation)•Interest Rates: Positive Trend (top of the range?)•Credit Spreads: Risk Off•Treasury Curve:...

 

Monday, March 5, 2018

• Business Cycle• ISM PMI: Growing• ECRI Leading Economic Indicators: Growing• US Dollar: Negative Trend (inflation)• Interest Rates: Positive Trend (top of the range?)• Inflation: Still low• Credit...

 

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Tuesday, February 6, 2018

The Good…• Economic growth remains in a positive trend as suggested by Corporate Profit Margins and the ECRI leading index.• The broad stock markets remain in positive trends globally.• Inflation is muted and...

 

Friday, January 5, 2018

The Good…•Economic growth remains in a positive trend as suggested by Corporate Profit Margins and the ECRI leading index.•The broad stock markets remain in positive trends globally.•Inflation is muted and...

 

Tuesday, December 5, 2017

The Good…-Economic growth remains in a positive trend as suggested by the ISM manufacturing index and ECRI leading index.-The broad stock markets remain in positive trends globally.-Inflation is muted and defensive asset classes...

 

Sunday, November 5, 2017

The Good… • Economic growth remains in a positive trend. • Global stock markets are the strongest asset classes we track. • Inflation is muted and defensive asset classes continue to weaken. The Bad… •...

 

Thursday, October 5, 2017

The Good…• Economic growth remains strong.• Global stock markets remain in positive trends.• Small-capitalization stocks have surged and regained a positive trend against the S&P 500. The Bad…• The...

 

Monday, September 4, 2017

The Good…• Economic growth continues to accelerate, which could yield consecutive quarters of 3% real GDP growth.• Global stock markets remain in positive trends.• Economic data continues to surprise on the upside...

 

Monday, August 7, 2017

The Good... Economic growth continues to accelerate and the Atlanta Fed is forecasting over 3% real GDP growth for Q3. Stocks remain the strongest asset class from a relative strength perspective. Intermarket relationships suggest that...

 

Tuesday, July 11, 2017

The Good… Economic growth continues to accelerate. Stocks remain the strongest asset class from a relative strength perspective. Intermarket relationships suggest that we remain in a risk-on environment. The Bad… The...

 

Monday, June 19, 2017

Monday, June 19, 2017 The Good… Economic growth continues to demonstrate that we are in the midst of a recovery from the 2015-2016 industrial recession. Stocks remain the strongest asset class overall.Trend Report June 2017...

 

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

The Good… Growth has picked up in the US suggesting a possible positive tail-wind for the US stock market. The Dow Jones Industrial and Global Dow Jones indices are in positive trends and remain on buy signals. Short-term...

 

Thursday, April 20, 2017

In this months trend report (click Trend Report), we attempt to tackle the mixed signals that we are receiving from the global markets. We focus mainly on the US stock market and highlight some interesting indicators we review to...